POST INDONESIAN PARLIAMENTARY ELECTION 2014

Indonesian Parliamentary Election was held on 9 April 2014. Parliamentary election for Indonesian citizens who live overseas was held before. As can be seen through a number of media, the result of Quick count version by Indonesia Survey Institute showed that there was no single political party which met the presidential threshold of 20% as one of the main requirement to run for presidential election candidacy.

In this parliamentary election, many political analysts claimed that no single political party became a winner since no one achieved more than 20% electability. For that reasons, coalitions will have to be formed among political parties which will nominate their presidential candidates. From the result of LSI’s quick count reports, PDIP led the quick count version with around 19% followed by Golkar 14 %and Garindra 12%. PDIP made up around around 40 % of electability increase compared to the last parliamentary election. It will become a ruling party together with its coalitions hopeful.

PDIP have been consistently an opposition party for around ten years (2 periods). Golkar belongs to the Big Three along with the other two leading parties, PDIP and Gerindra post 2014 Parliamentary Election. There have been serious pros and cons as well as debates among Golkar’s elites regarding the presidential candidacy of Abu Rizal Bakri (ARB). Some political surveys showed that Abu Rizal Bakri’s electability was low.

Some media repoted that Rhoma Irama and Rusdi Kirana's effects boosted markedly the electability of PKB. Rusdi Kirana, a Chinese decent tycoon, was a boss of Lion Air and and a fanatical fan of the Gus Dur. He joined PKB because he really appreciated PKB's platform which respect pluralism and multiculture. Rhoma Irama, Indonesian King of Traditonal Dangdut music and a former Member of Parliament still has a lot of fanatical fans in many villages across Indonesia with his famous Dangdut song though he is also identified as one of controversial figures from celebrity backgrounds.

Meanwhile, the electability of Demokrat dropped significantly up to around 50 % due to the negative image of media reports on corruption scandals involving few Demokrat elites. The electability of Gerindra increased dramatically. It accounted for 200% (Fantastic Electability Increase). As a new comer, Nasdem's electability should be highly appreciated. PAN, PPP and PKS met the Parliamentary Thresholds.

Finally, it is unfortunately the other two political parties, PBB and PKPI, had low electabilities. They only had below 2% but they remained relatively slight stable in their electability achievement. Looking forward to seeing the result of Presidential election in the near future. Which will be held some time in July 2014. Some political analysts speculated that there will be only three up t to four presidential candidates from the coalitions of leading parties and the small ones. Some potential presidential candidates are recommended such as Jokowi, Prabowo, Hatta Radjasa, Irman Gusman, Gita Wirawan, Rhoma Irama, Mahfud MD, Yusup Kalla, Abu Rizal Bakri, Dahlan Iskan and Anis Baswedan. Many experts recommended that the future presidential candidates who will run for presidential elction in July should be the ones who have good track records. They must have strong commitment to law enforcement, social justice and people prosperity

Salam Demokrasi
Mochtar Marhum
Academic, Peace Activist and Blogger on Social and Humanities Issues